Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 157.461066 186.317598 221.708623 269.267470 333.076450 4.182130e+02 545.077928
2024-12-22 115.655629 146.938944 189.798516 255.685567 360.449465 5.336106e+02 878.404500
2024-12-29 100.548169 133.934510 183.292170 267.059071 419.661392 7.252847e+02 1552.975224
2025-01-05 85.994262 117.877696 167.287860 256.703443 435.658509 8.502458e+02 2327.497530
2025-01-12 77.761091 109.474113 160.863085 259.909891 478.397468 1.074724e+03 4146.815119
2025-01-19 69.906383 100.287518 151.117265 253.756216 497.887307 1.262646e+03 7029.774273
2025-01-26 68.264174 100.788966 157.970052 282.390496 618.652702 1.984911e+03 31412.688117
2025-02-02 68.193641 103.823766 169.937937 326.571373 821.939520 3.766412e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 63.421842 97.885320 163.411535 324.949711 877.454849 4.984643e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 59.991218 93.946752 160.222414 330.926153 969.987090 7.362612e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 57.429722 91.299563 159.246879 342.682032 1103.273086 1.251185e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 54.550625 87.720566 155.680051 346.053310 1204.972410 2.074981e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 51.070281 83.147265 150.396176 346.707415 1324.640471 4.366109e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 46.672615 76.414719 139.425685 326.914951 1306.625249 6.504356e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 44.850563 74.580743 139.437202 343.218947 1572.286313 7.443914e+05 NaN
2025-03-30 41.658985 69.627265 131.233403 328.391880 1579.761204 7.490707e+06 NaN
2025-04-06 39.749315 67.120947 128.607501 332.971715 1780.551591 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 37.447198 63.580242 122.905113 324.191065 1842.165283 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 37.361457 64.693343 129.154417 365.343508 2662.648089 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 37.812415 67.013431 139.121915 430.272591 4575.760724 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 36.119269 64.394197 135.051447 427.859401 5113.495471 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 34.873297 62.677720 133.300502 436.764044 6226.592658 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 33.926387 61.558489 133.111638 454.368401 8226.999483 NaN NaN